September 05, 2025 10:00 AM EST

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers 09/05/2025

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Expect a close game with the Kansas City Chiefs winning 59.0% of simulations, and the Los Angeles Chargers 41.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Kansas City Chiefs commit fewer turnovers in 53.0% of simulations and they go on to win 74.0% when they take care of the ball. The Los Angeles Chargers wins 59.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Kareem Hunt is averaging 43.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29.0% chance) then he helps his team win 78%. Najee Harris is averaging 52.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (13.0% chance) then he helps his team win 60%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Kansas City ChiefsATS RECORDLos Angeles ChargersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 0-0-0All Games 0-0-0No Edge
Road Games 00-00-00Home Games 0-0-0 No Edge
When Favored 0-0-0When Underdog 0-0-0No Edge
Division Opp 0-0-0Division Opp 0-0-0No Edge
Opp No Games PlayedN/AOpp No Games PlayedN/ANo Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Kansas City ChiefsATS RECORDLos Angeles ChargersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 9-11-0All Games 12-6-0No Edge
Road Games 50-50-00Home Games 5-3-0 No Edge
When Favored 8-8-0When Underdog 2-4-0No Edge
Division Opp 1-5-0Division Opp 5-1-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 91-92-0Opp .500+ Record 58-70-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Kansas City ChiefsO-U-P RECORDLos Angeles ChargersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 0-0-0All Totals (O-U-P) 0-0-0No Edge
On Road 0-0-0At Home 0-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season 9-11-0All Totals Last Season 9-9-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 4-6-0At Home Last Season 5-3-0No Edge

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