September 28, 2025 8:33 AM EST

Washington Football Team vs Atlanta Falcons 09/28/2025

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Expect a close game with the Washington Football Team winning 44.0% of simulations, and the Atlanta Falcons 56.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Washington Football Team commit fewer turnovers in 67.0% of simulations and they go on to win 61.0% when they take care of the ball. The Atlanta Falcons wins 90.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jacory Croskey-Merritt is averaging 159.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (44.0% chance) then he helps his team win 76%. Michael Penix Jr. is averaging 261.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (40.0% chance) then he helps his team win 67%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Washington Football TeamATS RECORDAtlanta FalconsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 2-1-0All Games 1-2-0No Edge
Road Games 00-10-00Home Games 0-1-0 No Edge
When Favored 2-0-0When Underdog 1-1-0Washington Football Team
Non-Division Opp 1-1-0Non-Division Opp 1-0-0Atlanta Falcons
Opp Under .500 0-0-0Opp .500+ Record 1-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Washington Football TeamATS RECORDAtlanta FalconsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 12-8-0All Games 6-11-0No Edge
Road Games 50-60-00Home Games 3-6-0 No Edge
When Favored 7-4-0When Underdog 1-4-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 9-4-0Non-Division Opp 3-8-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 103-33-0Opp .500+ Record 40-102-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Washington Football TeamO-U-P RECORDAtlanta FalconsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1-2-0All Totals (O-U-P) 0-3-0UNDER
On Road 0-1-0At Home 0-1-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 13-6-1All Totals Last Season 8-8-1OVER
On Road Last Season 7-3-1At Home Last Season 4-5-0OVER

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