Expect a close game with the Jacksonville Jaguars winning 52.0% of simulations, and the Los Angeles Chargers 48.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Jacksonville Jaguars commit fewer turnovers in 75.0% of simulations and they go on to win 65.0% when they take care of the ball. The Los Angeles Chargers wins 86.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. James Robinson is averaging 28.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (8.0% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. Justin Herbert is averaging 250.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (45.0% chance) then he helps his team win 50%.
| Jacksonville Jaguars | | Los Angeles Chargers | | |
|---|
| All Games | 11-8-0 | All Games | 9-7-2 | Los Angeles Chargers |
| Road Games | 50-50-00 | Home Games | 4-3-1 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 9-5-0 | When Favored | 5-6-2 | Los Angeles Chargers |
| Non-Division Opp | 7-6-0 | Non-Division Opp | 6-4-2 | |
| Opp .500+ Record | 5-4-0 | Opp Under .500 | 1-3-0 | Los Angeles Chargers |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | | Los Angeles Chargers | | |
|---|
| All Games | 5-12-0 | All Games | 8-9-0 | |
| Road Games | 20-60-00 | Home Games | 4-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 5-10-0 | When Favored | 6-7-0 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 3-8-0 | Non-Division Opp | 5-6-0 | |
| Opp .500+ Record | 39-92-0 | Opp Under .500 | 43-39-0 | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | | Los Angeles Chargers | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 9-10-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 8-10-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 6-4-0 | At Home | 3-5-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 5-12-0 | All Totals Last Season | 10-7-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 3-5-0 | At Home Last Season | 6-3-0 | OVER |
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