The Chicago Bears are a solid favorite with a 61.0% chance to beat the Houston Texans. Khalil Herbert is projected for 58.0 rushing yards and a 43.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 39.0% of simulations where Houston Texans wins, Davis Mills averages 0.89 TD passes vs 0.31 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.4 TDs to 0.62 interceptions. Rex Burkhead averages 85.0 rushing yards and 0.46 rushing TDs when Houston Texans wins and 50.0 yards and 0.13 TDs in losses. The Chicago Bears has a 80.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 70.0% of the time.
| Houston Texans | | Chicago Bears | | |
|---|
| All Games | 7-8-1 | All Games | 4-11-2 | Houston Texans |
| Road Games | 50-30-10 | Home Games | 3-5-1 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 7-8-1 | When Favored | 0-2-1 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 4-6-1 | Non-Division Opp | 4-6-1 | |
| Opp Under .500 | 1-3-0 | Opp Under .500 | 0-5-1 | |
| Houston Texans | | Chicago Bears | | |
|---|
| All Games | 7-10-0 | All Games | 6-11-0 | |
| Road Games | 30-50-00 | Home Games | 3-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 7-9-0 | When Favored | 3-1-0 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 3-8-0 | Non-Division Opp | 5-6-0 | |
| Opp Under .500 | 37-68-0 | Opp Under .500 | 43-46-0 | |
| Houston Texans | | Chicago Bears | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-8-1 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 10-7-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 4-4-1 | At Home | 5-4-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 8-9-0 | All Totals Last Season | 7-10-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 2-6-0 | At Home Last Season | 2-6-0 | UNDER |
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