September 26, 2022 11:47 AM CDT

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 09/25/2022

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Expect a close game with the Green Bay Packers winning 56.0% of simulations, and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 44.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Green Bay Packers commit fewer turnovers in 72.0% of simulations and they go on to win 66.0% when they take care of the ball. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers wins 71.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Aaron Jones is averaging 33.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24.0% chance) then he helps his team win 77%. Leonard Fournette is averaging 66.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33.0% chance) then he helps his team win 71%.

Green Bay PackersTampa Bay Buccaneers
All Games 1-1-0All Games 2-0-0Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Road Games 00-10-00Home Games 0-0-0 No Edge
When Underdog 0-1-0When Favored 2-0-0Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Non-Division Opp 0-0-0Non-Division Opp 1-0-0
Opp .500+ Record 1-0-0Opp .500+ Record 1-0-0

Green Bay PackersTampa Bay Buccaneers
All Games 12-6-0All Games 10-9-0
Road Games 50-40-00Home Games 7-3-0 No Edge
When Underdog 4-0-0When Favored 10-9-0Green Bay Packers
Non-Division Opp 8-4-0Non-Division Opp 6-7-0
Opp .500+ Record 89-48-0Opp .500+ Record 46-76-0

Green Bay PackersTampa Bay Buccaneers
All Totals (O-U-P) 0-2-0All Totals (O-U-P) 0-2-0UNDER
On Road 0-1-0At Home 0-0-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 9-9-0All Totals Last Season 10-9-0OVER
On Road Last Season 4-5-0At Home Last Season 6-4-0OVER

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