Expect a close game with the Green Bay Packers winning 56.0% of simulations, and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 44.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Green Bay Packers commit fewer turnovers in 72.0% of simulations and they go on to win 66.0% when they take care of the ball. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers wins 71.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Aaron Jones is averaging 33.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24.0% chance) then he helps his team win 77%. Leonard Fournette is averaging 66.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33.0% chance) then he helps his team win 71%.
| Green Bay Packers | | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | | |
|---|
| All Games | 1-1-0 | All Games | 2-0-0 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| Road Games | 00-10-00 | Home Games | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 0-1-0 | When Favored | 2-0-0 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| Non-Division Opp | 0-0-0 | Non-Division Opp | 1-0-0 | |
| Opp .500+ Record | 1-0-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 1-0-0 | |
| Green Bay Packers | | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | | |
|---|
| All Games | 12-6-0 | All Games | 10-9-0 | |
| Road Games | 50-40-00 | Home Games | 7-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 4-0-0 | When Favored | 10-9-0 | Green Bay Packers |
| Non-Division Opp | 8-4-0 | Non-Division Opp | 6-7-0 | |
| Opp .500+ Record | 89-48-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 46-76-0 | |
| Green Bay Packers | | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-2-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-2-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 0-1-0 | At Home | 0-0-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 9-9-0 | All Totals Last Season | 10-9-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-5-0 | At Home Last Season | 6-4-0 | OVER |
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