April 16, 2023 11:42 AM EST

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots 09/25/2022

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The Baltimore Ravens are a solid favorite with a 65.0% chance to beat the New England Patriots. JK Dobbins is projected for 40.0 rushing yards and a 40.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 35.0% of simulations where New England Patriots wins, Mac Jones averages 0.77 TD passes vs 0.49 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.41 TDs to 0.85 interceptions. Damien Harris averages 114.0 rushing yards and 1.77 rushing TDs when New England Patriots wins and 43.0 yards and 0.47 TDs in losses. The Baltimore Ravens has a 72.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 79.0% of the time.

Baltimore RavensNew England Patriots
All Games 7-10-1All Games 8-9-0
Road Games 60-40-00Home Games 3-5-0 No Edge
When Favored 5-8-0When Underdog 2-7-0
Non-Division Opp 5-5-1Non-Division Opp 6-5-0New England Patriots
Opp .500+ Record 1-3-1Opp .500+ Record 4-3-0New England Patriots

Baltimore RavensNew England Patriots
All Games 8-9-0All Games 10-8-0
Road Games 30-50-00Home Games 5-4-0 No Edge
When Favored 4-8-0When Underdog 3-3-0
Non-Division Opp 6-5-0Non-Division Opp 7-4-0
Opp .500+ Record 95-73-0Opp Under .500 63-51-0

Baltimore RavensNew England Patriots
All Totals (O-U-P) 6-12-0All Totals (O-U-P) 8-8-1UNDER
On Road 5-5-0At Home 3-4-1UNDER
All Totals Last Season 8-9-0All Totals Last Season 10-7-1OVER
On Road Last Season 3-5-0At Home Last Season 6-3-0OVER

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