September 13, 2025 12:00 PM EST

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs 09/14/2025

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Expect a close game with the Philadelphia Eagles winning 49.0% of simulations, and the Kansas City Chiefs 51.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Philadelphia Eagles commit fewer turnovers in 76.0% of simulations and they go on to win 58.0% when they take care of the ball. The Kansas City Chiefs wins 83.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Saquon Barkley is averaging 112.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (21.0% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. Patrick Mahomes is averaging 49.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31.0% chance) then he helps his team win 68%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Philadelphia EaglesATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 0-1-0All Games 0-1-0No Edge
Road Games 00-00-00Home Games 0-0-0 No Edge
When Favored 0-1-0When Underdog 0-0-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 0-0-0Non-Division Opp 0-0-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 0-0-0Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Philadelphia EaglesATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 14-7-0All Games 9-11-0No Edge
Road Games 60-20-00Home Games 4-6-0 No Edge
When Favored 11-7-0When Underdog 1-3-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 8-6-0Non-Division Opp 8-6-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 111-39-0Opp .500+ Record 91-92-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Philadelphia EaglesO-U-P RECORDKansas City ChiefsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 0-1-0All Totals (O-U-P) 0-0-1UNDER
On Road 0-0-0At Home 0-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season 10-10-1All Totals Last Season 9-11-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 4-4-0At Home Last Season 5-5-0No Edge

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