Expect a close game with the New England Patriots winning 43.0% of simulations, and the Miami Dolphins 57.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New England Patriots commit fewer turnovers in 66.0% of simulations and they go on to win 56.0% when they take care of the ball. The Miami Dolphins wins 84.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. TreVeyon Henderson is averaging 61.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (41.0% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. Tua Tagovailoa is averaging 278.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (35.0% chance) then he helps his team win 56%.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| New England Patriots | ATS RECORD | Miami Dolphins | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 0-1-0 | All Games | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
| Road Games | 00-00-00 | Home Games | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 0-0-0 | When Favored | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Division Opp | 0-0-0 | Division Opp | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 0-0-0 | Opp Under .500 | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| New England Patriots | ATS RECORD | Miami Dolphins | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 7-9-1 | All Games | 7-10-0 | No Edge |
| Road Games | 40-50-00 | Home Games | 3-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 7-8-1 | When Favored | 3-5-0 | No Edge |
| Division Opp | 3-3-0 | Division Opp | 3-3-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 55-72-2 | Opp Under .500 | 65-70-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New England Patriots | O-U-P RECORD | Miami Dolphins | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-1-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-1-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 0-0-0 | At Home | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| All Totals Last Season | 11-6-0 | All Totals Last Season | 8-9-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-5-0 | At Home Last Season | 6-2-0 | OVER |
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