September 13, 2025 12:00 PM EST

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts 09/14/2025

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Expect a close game with the Denver Broncos winning 44.0% of simulations, and the Indianapolis Colts 55.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Denver Broncos commit fewer turnovers in 11.0% of simulations and they go on to win 82.0% when they take care of the ball. The Indianapolis Colts wins 61.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. RJ Harvey is averaging 42.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38.0% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Jonathan Taylor is averaging 77.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37.0% chance) then he helps his team win 68%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Denver BroncosATS RECORDIndianapolis ColtsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 0-1-0All Games 1-0-0Indianapolis Colts
Road Games 00-00-00Home Games 1-0-0 No Edge
When Favored 0-1-0When Underdog 0-0-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 0-1-0Non-Division Opp 1-0-0Indianapolis Colts
Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Denver BroncosATS RECORDIndianapolis ColtsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 12-6-0All Games 8-8-1No Edge
Road Games 60-40-00Home Games 5-3-1 No Edge
When Favored 8-0-0When Underdog 5-4-1Denver Broncos
Non-Division Opp 8-4-0Non-Division Opp 4-7-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 91-17-0Opp .500+ Record 55-68-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Denver BroncosO-U-P RECORDIndianapolis ColtsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 0-1-0All Totals (O-U-P) 0-1-0UNDER
On Road 0-0-0At Home 0-1-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 10-7-1All Totals Last Season 9-8-0OVER
On Road Last Season 6-4-0At Home Last Season 5-3-0OVER

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