September 13, 2025 12:00 PM EST

Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings 09/14/2025

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Expect a close game with the Atlanta Falcons winning 50.0% of simulations, and the Minnesota Vikings 50.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Atlanta Falcons commit fewer turnovers in 58.0% of simulations and they go on to win 67.0% when they take care of the ball. The Minnesota Vikings wins 74.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Bijan Robinson is averaging 63.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (18.0% chance) then he helps his team win 78%. Jordan Mason is averaging 76.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31.0% chance) then he helps his team win 76%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Atlanta FalconsATS RECORDMinnesota VikingsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 0-1-0All Games 1-0-0Minnesota Vikings
Road Games 00-00-00Home Games 0-0-0 No Edge
When Underdog 0-1-0When Favored 1-0-0Minnesota Vikings
Non-Division Opp 0-0-0Non-Division Opp 0-0-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0Opp Under .500 0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Atlanta FalconsATS RECORDMinnesota VikingsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 6-11-0All Games 10-6-2No Edge
Road Games 30-50-00Home Games 7-2-2 No Edge
When Underdog 1-4-0When Favored 7-5-2No Edge
Non-Division Opp 3-8-0Non-Division Opp 7-4-1No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 40-102-0Opp Under .500 66-41-8No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Atlanta FalconsO-U-P RECORDMinnesota VikingsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 0-1-0All Totals (O-U-P) 1-0-0No Edge
On Road 0-0-0At Home 0-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season 8-8-1All Totals Last Season 7-10-1UNDER
On Road Last Season 4-3-1At Home Last Season 3-5-1UNDER

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