December 24, 2025 5:48 AM EST

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Miami Dolphins 12/28/2025

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are a solid favorite with a 68.0% chance to beat the Miami Dolphins. Bucky Irving is projected for 58.0 rushing yards and a 29.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 31.0% of simulations where Miami Dolphins wins, Quinn Ewers averages 0.81 TD passes vs 0.26 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.41 TDs to 0.52 interceptions. De'Von Achane averages 126.0 rushing yards and 0.69 rushing TDs when Miami Dolphins wins and 68.0 yards and 0.19 TDs in losses. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers has a 76.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 77.0% of the time.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Tampa Bay BuccaneersATS RECORDMiami DolphinsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 5-9-1All Games 6-7-2No Edge
Road Games 40-40-00Home Games 3-3-0 No Edge
When Favored 3-5-1When Underdog 4-5-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 3-6-1Non-Division Opp 2-6-2No Edge
Opp Under .500 2-3-1Opp .500+ Record 4-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Tampa Bay BuccaneersATS RECORDMiami DolphinsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 10-8-0All Games 7-10-0No Edge
Road Games 50-30-00Home Games 3-5-0 No Edge
When Favored 6-5-0When Underdog 4-5-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 8-4-0Non-Division Opp 4-7-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 57-45-0Opp .500+ Record 33-70-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay BuccaneersO-U-P RECORDMiami DolphinsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 8-7-0All Totals (O-U-P) 10-5-0OVER
On Road 2-6-0At Home 4-4-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 12-6-0All Totals Last Season 8-9-0OVER
On Road Last Season 6-2-0At Home Last Season 6-2-0OVER

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