December 24, 2025 5:48 AM EST

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills 12/28/2025

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Expect a close game with the Philadelphia Eagles winning 55.0% of simulations, and the Buffalo Bills 44.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Philadelphia Eagles commit fewer turnovers in 87.0% of simulations and they go on to win 61.0% when they take care of the ball. The Buffalo Bills wins 81.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Saquon Barkley is averaging 110.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38.0% chance) then he helps his team win 76%. James Cook is averaging 77.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34.0% chance) then he helps his team win 64%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Philadelphia EaglesATS RECORDBuffalo BillsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 9-6-0All Games 7-8-0No Edge
Road Games 50-30-00Home Games 3-4-0 No Edge
When Underdog 1-0-0When Favored 5-8-0Philadelphia Eagles
Non-Division Opp 7-3-0Non-Division Opp 5-5-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 5-3-0Opp .500+ Record 5-3-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Philadelphia EaglesATS RECORDBuffalo BillsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 14-7-0All Games 12-7-1No Edge
Road Games 60-20-00Home Games 7-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 3-0-0When Favored 9-5-1Philadelphia Eagles
Non-Division Opp 8-6-0Non-Division Opp 9-4-1No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 111-39-0Opp .500+ Record 82-49-7No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Philadelphia EaglesO-U-P RECORDBuffalo BillsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 6-8-1All Totals (O-U-P) 8-7-0UNDER
On Road 4-3-1At Home 5-2-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 10-10-1All Totals Last Season 13-6-1OVER
On Road Last Season 4-4-0At Home Last Season 7-2-1OVER

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