December 24, 2025 5:48 AM EST

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers 12/28/2025

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Expect a close game with the Chicago Bears winning 51.0% of simulations, and the San Francisco 49ers 48.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Chicago Bears commit fewer turnovers in 64.0% of simulations and they go on to win 65.0% when they take care of the ball. The San Francisco 49ers wins 74.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Dandre Swift is averaging 44.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (19.0% chance) then he helps his team win 78%. Christian McCaffrey is averaging 68.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (16.0% chance) then he helps his team win 79%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Chicago BearsATS RECORDSan Francisco 49ersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 10-3-2All Games 9-6-0No Edge
Road Games 50-20-10Home Games 2-4-0 No Edge
When Underdog 5-3-1When Favored 8-3-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 8-1-1Non-Division Opp 6-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 3-0-2Opp .500+ Record 3-4-0Chicago Bears

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Chicago BearsATS RECORDSan Francisco 49ersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-8-1All Games 5-12-0No Edge
Road Games 20-60-00Home Games 4-5-0 No Edge
When Underdog 4-7-1When Favored 5-8-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 5-6-0Non-Division Opp 4-7-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 56-36-0Opp Under .500 39-53-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago BearsO-U-P RECORDSan Francisco 49ersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 7-8-0All Totals (O-U-P) 9-5-1OVER
On Road 5-3-0At Home 3-3-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 7-10-0All Totals Last Season 11-6-0OVER
On Road Last Season 2-6-0At Home Last Season 5-4-0UNDER

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