December 24, 2025 5:48 AM EST

Baltimore Ravens vs Green Bay Packers 12/27/2025

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Expect a close game with the Baltimore Ravens winning 50.0% of simulations, and the Green Bay Packers 50.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Baltimore Ravens commit fewer turnovers in 44.0% of simulations and they go on to win 67.0% when they take care of the ball. The Green Bay Packers wins 66.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Derrick Henry is averaging 81.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (19.0% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. Josh Jacobs is averaging 66.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (35.0% chance) then he helps his team win 65%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Baltimore RavensATS RECORDGreen Bay PackersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 5-9-1All Games 6-7-1No Edge
Road Games 30-20-10Home Games 3-3-0 No Edge
When Underdog 0-2-0When Favored 5-6-1No Edge
Non-Division Opp 3-7-0Non-Division Opp 3-6-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 2-3-0Opp Under .500 2-3-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Baltimore RavensATS RECORDGreen Bay PackersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 12-7-0All Games 8-9-1No Edge
Road Games 60-40-00Home Games 5-4-1 No Edge
When Underdog 0-1-0When Favored 6-5-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 8-4-0Non-Division Opp 8-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 111-59-0Opp .500+ Record 41-100-14No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Baltimore RavensO-U-P RECORDGreen Bay PackersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 9-6-0All Totals (O-U-P) 7-7-0OVER
On Road 3-3-0At Home 2-5-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 13-5-1All Totals Last Season 9-9-0OVER
On Road Last Season 7-2-1At Home Last Season 4-5-0OVER

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