December 24, 2025 5:48 AM EST

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs 12/25/2025

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The Denver Broncos are a heavy favorite winning 82.0% of simulations over the Kansas City Chiefs. Bo Nix is averaging 280.0 passing yards and 1.51 TDs per simulation and RJ Harvey is projected for 52.0 rushing yards and a 32.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 18.0% of simulations where Kansas City Chiefs wins, Chris Oladokun averages 0.68 TD passes vs 0.33 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.35 TDs to 0.61 interceptions. Kareem Hunt averages 66.0 rushing yards and 0.99 rushing TDs when Kansas City Chiefs wins and 35.0 yards and 0.4 TDs in losses. The Denver Broncos have a 46.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 94.0% of the time.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Denver BroncosATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 6-8-1All Games 5-9-1No Edge
Road Games 20-40-10Home Games 4-3-0 No Edge
When Favored 2-7-1When Underdog 1-1-0No Edge
Division Opp 1-2-1Division Opp 1-3-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 1-4-1Opp .500+ Record 1-7-1No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Denver BroncosATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 12-6-0All Games 9-11-0No Edge
Road Games 60-40-00Home Games 4-6-0 No Edge
When Favored 8-0-0When Underdog 1-3-0Denver Broncos
Division Opp 4-2-0Division Opp 1-5-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 77-67-0Opp .500+ Record 91-92-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Denver BroncosO-U-P RECORDKansas City ChiefsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 7-8-0All Totals (O-U-P) 3-11-1UNDER
On Road 3-4-0At Home 1-7-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 10-7-1All Totals Last Season 9-11-0OVER
On Road Last Season 6-4-0At Home Last Season 5-5-0OVER

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