December 21, 2025 5:42 AM EST

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears 12/20/2025

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Expect a close game with the Green Bay Packers winning 58.0% of simulations, and the Chicago Bears 42.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Green Bay Packers commit fewer turnovers in 62.0% of simulations and they go on to win 68.0% when they take care of the ball. The Chicago Bears wins 59.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Josh Jacobs is averaging 69.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (27.0% chance) then he helps his team win 79%. Kyle Monangai is averaging 42.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (18.0% chance) then he helps his team win 63%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Green Bay PackersATS RECORDChicago BearsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 6-7-1All Games 10-3-2No Edge
Road Games 30-40-00Home Games 5-1-1 No Edge
When Underdog 1-1-0When Favored 5-0-1Chicago Bears
Division Opp 3-1-1Division Opp 2-2-1Green Bay Packers
Opp .500+ Record 3-3-1Opp .500+ Record 3-0-2Chicago Bears

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Green Bay PackersATS RECORDChicago BearsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-9-1All Games 8-8-1No Edge
Road Games 30-50-10Home Games 6-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 2-4-1When Favored 4-1-0No Edge
Division Opp 0-5-1Division Opp 3-2-1No Edge
Opp Under .500 71-26-0Opp .500+ Record 56-76-14No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Green Bay PackersO-U-P RECORDChicago BearsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 7-7-0All Totals (O-U-P) 7-8-0UNDER
On Road 5-2-0At Home 2-5-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 9-9-0All Totals Last Season 7-10-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 5-4-0At Home Last Season 5-4-0OVER

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