December 11, 2025 7:44 PM EST

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12/11/2025

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are a solid favorite with a 73.0% chance to beat the Atlanta Falcons. Bucky Irving is projected for 56.0 rushing yards and a 39.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 27.0% of simulations where Atlanta Falcons wins, Kirk Cousins averages 2.4 TD passes vs 0.54 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.73 TDs to 1.11 interceptions. Bijan Robinson averages 76.0 rushing yards and 0.23 rushing TDs when Atlanta Falcons wins and 51.0 yards and 0.09 TDs in losses. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers has a 72.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 83.0% of the time.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Atlanta FalconsATS RECORDTampa Bay BuccaneersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 5-8-0All Games 5-7-1No Edge
Road Games 30-40-00Home Games 1-4-0 No Edge
When Underdog 4-4-0When Favored 3-3-1No Edge
Division Opp 1-3-0Division Opp 2-1-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 4-4-0Opp Under .500 2-2-1No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Atlanta FalconsATS RECORDTampa Bay BuccaneersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 6-11-0All Games 10-8-0No Edge
Road Games 30-50-00Home Games 5-5-0 No Edge
When Underdog 1-4-0When Favored 6-5-0No Edge
Division Opp 3-3-0Division Opp 2-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 40-102-0Opp Under .500 57-45-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Atlanta FalconsO-U-P RECORDTampa Bay BuccaneersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 7-6-0All Totals (O-U-P) 7-6-0OVER
On Road 3-4-0At Home 5-1-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 8-8-1All Totals Last Season 12-6-0OVER
On Road Last Season 4-3-1At Home Last Season 6-4-0OVER

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