November 05, 2025 5:02 PM EST

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers 11/09/2025

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Expect a close game with the Pittsburgh Steelers winning 48.0% of simulations, and the Los Angeles Chargers 52.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Pittsburgh Steelers commit fewer turnovers in 66.0% of simulations and they go on to win 59.0% when they take care of the ball. The Los Angeles Chargers wins 74.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jaylen Warren is averaging 54.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (15.0% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. Kimani Vidal is averaging 73.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (20.0% chance) then he helps his team win 73%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Pittsburgh SteelersATS RECORDLos Angeles ChargersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 4-4-0All Games 4-5-0No Edge
Road Games 10-20-00Home Games 3-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 2-1-0When Favored 3-5-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 3-3-0Non-Division Opp 1-5-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 3-1-0Opp .500+ Record 3-2-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Pittsburgh SteelersATS RECORDLos Angeles ChargersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 11-7-0All Games 12-6-0No Edge
Road Games 50-50-00Home Games 5-3-0 No Edge
When Underdog 6-4-0When Favored 10-2-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 7-4-0Non-Division Opp 7-5-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 66-61-0Opp .500+ Record 58-70-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh SteelersO-U-P RECORDLos Angeles ChargersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 5-3-0All Totals (O-U-P) 4-4-1OVER
On Road 2-1-0At Home 2-2-1OVER
All Totals Last Season 8-9-1All Totals Last Season 9-9-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 6-4-0At Home Last Season 5-3-0OVER

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