November 05, 2025 5:02 PM EST

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins 11/09/2025

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The Buffalo Bills are a solid favorite with a 75.0% chance to beat the Miami Dolphins. James Cook is projected for 84.0 rushing yards and a 60.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 25.0% of simulations where Miami Dolphins wins, Tua Tagovailoa averages 1.65 TD passes vs 0.81 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.08 TDs to 1.54 interceptions. De'Von Achane averages 115.0 rushing yards and 0.59 rushing TDs when Miami Dolphins wins and 60.0 yards and 0.2 TDs in losses. The Buffalo Bills has a 89.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 81.0% of the time.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Buffalo BillsATS RECORDMiami DolphinsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 4-4-0All Games 4-5-0No Edge
Road Games 20-10-00Home Games 2-2-0 No Edge
When Favored 2-4-0When Underdog 3-3-0No Edge
Division Opp 1-2-0Division Opp 2-1-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 1-2-0Opp .500+ Record 3-0-0Miami Dolphins

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Buffalo BillsATS RECORDMiami DolphinsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 12-7-1All Games 7-10-0No Edge
Road Games 50-50-00Home Games 3-5-0 No Edge
When Favored 9-5-1When Underdog 4-5-0No Edge
Division Opp 3-3-0Division Opp 3-3-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 86-49-7Opp .500+ Record 33-70-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Buffalo BillsO-U-P RECORDMiami DolphinsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 4-4-0All Totals (O-U-P) 7-2-0OVER
On Road 1-2-0At Home 3-1-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 13-6-1All Totals Last Season 8-9-0OVER
On Road Last Season 6-4-0At Home Last Season 6-2-0OVER

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