November 26, 2025 5:17 PM EST

New Orleans Saints vs Miami Dolphins 11/30/2025

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The Miami Dolphins are a solid favorite with a 72.0% chance to beat the New Orleans Saints. De'Von Achane is projected for 89.0 rushing yards and a 39.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 28.0% of simulations where New Orleans Saints wins, Tyler Shough averages 2.05 TD passes vs 0.36 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.16 TDs to 0.66 interceptions. Alvin Kamara averages 89.0 rushing yards and 0.32 rushing TDs when New Orleans Saints wins and 63.0 yards and 0.11 TDs in losses. The Miami Dolphins has a 65.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 85.0% of the time.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New Orleans SaintsATS RECORDMiami DolphinsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 3-8-0All Games 5-5-1No Edge
Road Games 20-30-00Home Games 3-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 2-7-0When Favored 1-2-1No Edge
Non-Division Opp 2-6-0Non-Division Opp 2-4-1No Edge
Opp Under .500 1-1-0Opp Under .500 1-4-1No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New Orleans SaintsATS RECORDMiami DolphinsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 7-10-0All Games 7-10-0No Edge
Road Games 30-50-00Home Games 3-5-0 No Edge
When Underdog 5-7-0When Favored 3-5-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 3-8-0Non-Division Opp 4-7-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 46-58-0Opp Under .500 65-70-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New Orleans SaintsO-U-P RECORDMiami DolphinsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 4-7-0All Totals (O-U-P) 7-4-0No Edge
On Road 3-2-0At Home 3-3-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 8-9-0All Totals Last Season 8-9-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 4-4-0At Home Last Season 6-2-0OVER

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