November 26, 2025 5:17 PM EST

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts 11/30/2025

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Expect a close game with the Houston Texans winning 50.0% of simulations, and the Indianapolis Colts 50.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Houston Texans commit fewer turnovers in 22.0% of simulations and they go on to win 83.0% when they take care of the ball. The Indianapolis Colts wins 60.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Woody Marks is averaging 55.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24.0% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. Jonathan Taylor is averaging 79.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (20.0% chance) then he helps his team win 73%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Houston TexansATS RECORDIndianapolis ColtsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 5-6-0All Games 7-3-1No Edge
Road Games 10-40-00Home Games 5-1-1 No Edge
When Underdog 1-3-0When Favored 5-2-0No Edge
Division Opp 2-2-0Division Opp 2-0-0Indianapolis Colts
Opp .500+ Record 3-4-0Opp .500+ Record 2-2-1No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Houston TexansATS RECORDIndianapolis ColtsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 9-8-2All Games 8-8-1No Edge
Road Games 50-40-10Home Games 5-3-1 No Edge
When Underdog 5-3-1When Favored 3-4-0No Edge
Division Opp 1-4-1Division Opp 4-1-1No Edge
Opp Under .500 53-62-14Opp .500+ Record 55-68-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston TexansO-U-P RECORDIndianapolis ColtsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 3-8-0All Totals (O-U-P) 6-4-1UNDER
On Road 2-3-0At Home 4-1-1OVER
All Totals Last Season 7-12-0All Totals Last Season 9-8-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 5-5-0At Home Last Season 5-3-0OVER

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