November 26, 2025 5:17 PM EST

Kansas City Chiefs vs Dallas Cowboys 11/27/2025

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The Kansas City Chiefs are a solid favorite with a 63.0% chance to beat the Dallas Cowboys. Isaih Pacheco is projected for 40.0 rushing yards and a 24.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 37.0% of simulations where Dallas Cowboys wins, Dak Prescott averages 1.94 TD passes vs 0.64 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.05 TDs to 1.15 interceptions. Javonte Williams averages 81.0 rushing yards and 0.39 rushing TDs when Dallas Cowboys wins and 51.0 yards and 0.19 TDs in losses. The Kansas City Chiefs has a 77.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 70.0% of the time.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Kansas City ChiefsATS RECORDDallas CowboysATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 5-5-1All Games 5-5-0No Edge
Road Games 10-40-00Home Games 2-2-0 No Edge
When Favored 4-4-1When Underdog 2-1-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 4-3-1Non-Division Opp 2-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 1-4-1Opp .500+ Record 2-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Kansas City ChiefsATS RECORDDallas CowboysATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 9-11-0All Games 7-9-1No Edge
Road Games 50-50-00Home Games 3-6-1 No Edge
When Favored 8-8-0When Underdog 6-8-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 8-6-0Non-Division Opp 4-7-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 35-62-0Opp .500+ Record 51-90-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Kansas City ChiefsO-U-P RECORDDallas CowboysO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 2-8-1All Totals (O-U-P) 6-4-0UNDER
On Road 1-3-1At Home 2-2-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 9-11-0All Totals Last Season 11-6-0OVER
On Road Last Season 4-6-0At Home Last Season 6-3-0OVER

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