December 03, 2022 9:17 AM CST

Houston Texans vs Miami Dolphins 11/27/2022 Game Forecast Preview  
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The Miami Dolphins are a heavy favorite winning 88.0% of simulations over the Houston Texans. Tua Tagovailoa is averaging 296.0 passing yards and 2.1 TDs per simulation and Jeff Wilson Jr. is projected for 77.0 rushing yards and a 65.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 12.0% of simulations where Houston Texans wins, Kyle Allen averages 1.12 TD passes vs 0.68 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.68 TDs to 1.47 interceptions. Dameon Pierce averages 117.0 rushing yards and 0.6 rushing TDs when Houston Texans wins and 66.0 yards and 0.23 TDs in losses. Miami Dolphins has a 83.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93.0% of the time.

Houston TexansMiami Dolphins
All Games 3-6-1All Games 6-5-0
Road Games 20-30-10Home Games 4-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 3-6-1When Favored 4-3-0
Non-Division Opp 2-5-1Non-Division Opp 4-4-0
Opp .500+ Record 2-4-1Opp Under .500 3-3-0

Houston TexansMiami Dolphins
All Games 7-10-0All Games 10-7-0
Road Games 30-50-00Home Games 5-4-0 No Edge
When Underdog 7-9-0When Favored 4-3-0
Non-Division Opp 3-8-0Non-Division Opp 6-5-0
Opp .500+ Record 61-72-0Opp Under .500 64-51-0

Houston TexansMiami Dolphins
All Totals (O-U-P) 4-5-1All Totals (O-U-P) 5-6-0UNDER
On Road 2-3-1At Home 1-5-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 8-9-0All Totals Last Season 7-10-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 2-6-0At Home Last Season 5-4-0UNDER

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