The Miami Dolphins are a heavy favorite winning 88.0% of simulations over the Houston Texans. Tua Tagovailoa is averaging 296.0 passing yards and 2.1 TDs per simulation and Jeff Wilson Jr. is projected for 77.0 rushing yards and a 65.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 12.0% of simulations where Houston Texans wins, Kyle Allen averages 1.12 TD passes vs 0.68 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.68 TDs to 1.47 interceptions. Dameon Pierce averages 117.0 rushing yards and 0.6 rushing TDs when Houston Texans wins and 66.0 yards and 0.23 TDs in losses. Miami Dolphins has a 83.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93.0% of the time.
| Houston Texans | | Miami Dolphins | | |
|---|
| All Games | 7-8-1 | All Games | 10-8-0 | |
| Road Games | 50-30-10 | Home Games | 5-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 7-8-1 | When Favored | 4-5-0 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 4-6-1 | Non-Division Opp | 4-7-0 | |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-4-1 | Opp Under .500 | 3-3-0 | |
| Houston Texans | | Miami Dolphins | | |
|---|
| All Games | 7-10-0 | All Games | 10-7-0 | |
| Road Games | 30-50-00 | Home Games | 5-4-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 7-9-0 | When Favored | 4-3-0 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 3-8-0 | Non-Division Opp | 6-5-0 | |
| Opp .500+ Record | 61-72-0 | Opp Under .500 | 64-51-0 | |
| Houston Texans | | Miami Dolphins | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-8-1 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 9-9-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 4-4-1 | At Home | 1-7-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 8-9-0 | All Totals Last Season | 7-10-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 2-6-0 | At Home Last Season | 5-4-0 | UNDER |
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