April 16, 2023 11:42 AM EST

Denver Broncos vs Carolina Panthers 11/27/2022

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Expect a close game with the Denver Broncos winning 58.0% of simulations, and the Carolina Panthers 42.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Denver Broncos commit fewer turnovers in 70.0% of simulations and they go on to win 70.0% when they take care of the ball. The Carolina Panthers wins 69.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Latavius Murray is averaging 68.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37.0% chance) then he helps his team win 82%. D'Onta Foreman is averaging 100.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (22.0% chance) then he helps his team win 78%.

Denver BroncosCarolina Panthers
All Games 8-9-0All Games 9-8-0
Road Games 40-50-00Home Games 5-4-0 No Edge
When Underdog 7-4-0When Favored 1-3-0
Non-Division Opp 4-7-0Non-Division Opp 4-7-0
Opp Under .500 2-4-0Opp Under .500 3-3-0

Denver BroncosCarolina Panthers
All Games 8-8-1All Games 4-13-0
Road Games 30-40-10Home Games 1-7-0 No Edge
When Underdog 3-3-1When Favored 1-6-0
Non-Division Opp 6-4-1Non-Division Opp 2-9-0
Opp Under .500 71-21-1Opp Under .500 27-97-0

Denver BroncosCarolina Panthers
All Totals (O-U-P) 6-11-0All Totals (O-U-P) 8-9-0UNDER
On Road 3-6-0At Home 4-5-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 5-12-0All Totals Last Season 7-10-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 2-6-0At Home Last Season 3-5-0UNDER

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