December 03, 2022 9:17 AM CST

Chicago Bears vs New York Jets 11/27/2022

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Expect a close game with the Chicago Bears winning 41.0% of simulations, and the New York Jets 59.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Chicago Bears commit fewer turnovers in 51.0% of simulations and they go on to win 64.0% when they take care of the ball. The New York Jets wins 84.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. David Montgomery is averaging 62.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28.0% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. Michael Carter is averaging 98.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (43.0% chance) then he helps his team win 83%.

Chicago BearsNew York Jets
All Games 3-7-2All Games 7-4-0
Road Games 10-50-10Home Games 3-3-0 No Edge
When Underdog 3-5-1When Favored 2-0-0New York Jets
Non-Division Opp 3-5-1Non-Division Opp 5-2-0
Opp .500+ Record 2-3-1Opp Under .500 3-2-0

Chicago BearsNew York Jets
All Games 6-11-0All Games 7-9-1
Road Games 30-60-00Home Games 4-5-1 No Edge
When Underdog 3-10-0When Favored 1-0-0New York Jets
Non-Division Opp 5-6-0Non-Division Opp 6-5-0
Opp Under .500 43-46-0Opp Under .500 45-62-1

Chicago BearsNew York Jets
All Totals (O-U-P) 8-4-0All Totals (O-U-P) 4-7-0OVER
On Road 5-2-0At Home 2-4-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 7-10-0All Totals Last Season 10-7-0
On Road Last Season 5-4-0At Home Last Season 6-3-0OVER

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