Expect a close game with the Chicago Bears winning 41.0% of simulations, and the New York Jets 59.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Chicago Bears commit fewer turnovers in 51.0% of simulations and they go on to win 64.0% when they take care of the ball. The New York Jets wins 84.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. David Montgomery is averaging 62.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28.0% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. Michael Carter is averaging 98.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (43.0% chance) then he helps his team win 83%.
| Chicago Bears | | New York Jets | | |
|---|
| All Games | 3-7-2 | All Games | 7-4-0 | |
| Road Games | 10-50-10 | Home Games | 3-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 3-5-1 | When Favored | 2-0-0 | New York Jets |
| Non-Division Opp | 3-5-1 | Non-Division Opp | 5-2-0 | |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-3-1 | Opp Under .500 | 3-2-0 | |
| Chicago Bears | | New York Jets | | |
|---|
| All Games | 6-11-0 | All Games | 7-9-1 | |
| Road Games | 30-60-00 | Home Games | 4-5-1 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 3-10-0 | When Favored | 1-0-0 | New York Jets |
| Non-Division Opp | 5-6-0 | Non-Division Opp | 6-5-0 | |
| Opp Under .500 | 43-46-0 | Opp Under .500 | 45-62-1 | |
| Chicago Bears | | New York Jets | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 8-4-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-7-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 5-2-0 | At Home | 2-4-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 7-10-0 | All Totals Last Season | 10-7-0 | |
| On Road Last Season | 5-4-0 | At Home Last Season | 6-3-0 | OVER |
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