December 03, 2022 9:17 AM CST

Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars 11/27/2022

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Expect a close game with the Baltimore Ravens winning 51.0% of simulations, and the Jacksonville Jaguars 48.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Baltimore Ravens commit fewer turnovers in 17.0% of simulations and they go on to win 88.0% when they take care of the ball. The Jacksonville Jaguars wins 57.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Lamar Jackson is averaging 313.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (39.0% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. Travis Etienne Jr. is averaging 74.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (42.0% chance) then he helps his team win 77%.

Baltimore RavensJacksonville Jaguars
All Games 4-6-1All Games 4-7-0
Road Games 40-20-00Home Games 3-3-0 No Edge
When Favored 4-6-0When Underdog 4-4-0
Non-Division Opp 4-4-1Non-Division Opp 3-5-0
Opp Under .500 2-3-0Opp .500+ Record 3-4-0

Baltimore RavensJacksonville Jaguars
All Games 8-9-0All Games 5-12-0
Road Games 30-50-00Home Games 3-6-0 No Edge
When Favored 4-8-0When Underdog 5-10-0
Non-Division Opp 6-5-0Non-Division Opp 3-8-0
Opp Under .500 17-53-0Opp Under .500 31-76-0

Baltimore RavensJacksonville Jaguars
All Totals (O-U-P) 4-7-0All Totals (O-U-P) 5-6-0UNDER
On Road 3-3-0At Home 1-5-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 8-9-0All Totals Last Season 5-12-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 3-5-0At Home Last Season 2-7-0UNDER

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