Expect a close game with the Baltimore Ravens winning 51.0% of simulations, and the Jacksonville Jaguars 48.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Baltimore Ravens commit fewer turnovers in 17.0% of simulations and they go on to win 88.0% when they take care of the ball. The Jacksonville Jaguars wins 57.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Lamar Jackson is averaging 313.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (39.0% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. Travis Etienne Jr. is averaging 74.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (42.0% chance) then he helps his team win 77%.
| Baltimore Ravens | | Jacksonville Jaguars | | |
|---|
| All Games | 7-10-1 | All Games | 11-8-0 | |
| Road Games | 60-40-00 | Home Games | 6-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 5-8-0 | When Underdog | 9-5-0 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 5-5-1 | Non-Division Opp | 7-6-0 | |
| Opp Under .500 | 3-5-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 5-4-0 | |
| Baltimore Ravens | | Jacksonville Jaguars | | |
|---|
| All Games | 8-9-0 | All Games | 5-12-0 | |
| Road Games | 30-50-00 | Home Games | 3-6-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 4-8-0 | When Underdog | 5-10-0 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 6-5-0 | Non-Division Opp | 3-8-0 | |
| Opp Under .500 | 17-53-0 | Opp Under .500 | 31-76-0 | |
| Baltimore Ravens | | Jacksonville Jaguars | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-12-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 9-10-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 5-5-0 | At Home | 3-6-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 8-9-0 | All Totals Last Season | 5-12-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 3-5-0 | At Home Last Season | 2-7-0 | UNDER |
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