December 07, 2023 1:29 PM CST

Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos 11/26/2023

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Expect a close game with the Cleveland Browns winning 40.0% of simulations, and the Denver Broncos 59.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Cleveland Browns commit fewer turnovers in 71.0% of simulations and they go on to win 52.0% when they take care of the ball. The Denver Broncos wins 90.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jerome Ford is averaging 65.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (41.0% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Javonte Williams is averaging 70.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (15.0% chance) then he helps his team win 82%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Cleveland BrownsATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 5-5-2All Games 4-7-1No Edge
Road Games 10-40-10Home Games 3-4-1 No Edge
When Underdog 3-2-1When Favored 2-4-1Cleveland Browns
Non-Division Opp 3-3-1Non-Division Opp 3-5-1No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 3-3-2Opp .500+ Record 3-5-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Cleveland BrownsATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-9-0All Games 8-9-0No Edge
Road Games 40-50-00Home Games 4-4-0 No Edge
When Underdog 5-5-0When Favored 1-5-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 4-7-0Non-Division Opp 4-7-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 54-47-0Opp Under .500 28-80-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cleveland BrownsO-U-P RECORDDenver BroncosO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 6-6-0All Totals (O-U-P) 5-7-0UNDER
On Road 6-0-0At Home 3-4-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 8-9-0All Totals Last Season 6-11-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 4-5-0At Home Last Season 3-5-0UNDER

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