December 07, 2023 1:29 PM CST

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles 11/26/2023

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Expect a close game with the Buffalo Bills winning 44.0% of simulations, and the Philadelphia Eagles 56.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Buffalo Bills commit fewer turnovers in 9.0% of simulations and they go on to win 86.0% when they take care of the ball. The Philadelphia Eagles wins 61.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Josh Allen is averaging 314.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (29.0% chance) then he helps his team win 49%. Dandre Swift is averaging 71.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33.0% chance) then he helps his team win 71%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Buffalo BillsATS RECORDPhiladelphia EaglesATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 4-7-1All Games 7-3-2No Edge
Road Games 10-30-10Home Games 3-2-1 No Edge
When Underdog 0-1-1When Favored 6-2-2No Edge
Non-Division Opp 2-5-1Non-Division Opp 6-2-1No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 3-3-1Opp .500+ Record 5-2-1No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Buffalo BillsATS RECORDPhiladelphia EaglesATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-10-1All Games 11-9-0No Edge
Road Games 40-40-10Home Games 9-3-0 No Edge
When Underdog 0-0-0When Favored 10-8-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 6-5-1Non-Division Opp 7-6-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 58-106-14Opp .500+ Record 109-50-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Buffalo BillsO-U-P RECORDPhiladelphia EaglesO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 4-8-0All Totals (O-U-P) 7-5-0UNDER
On Road 2-3-0At Home 5-1-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 6-13-0All Totals Last Season 11-9-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 1-8-0At Home Last Season 7-5-0UNDER

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