The Minnesota Vikings are a solid favorite with a 61.0% chance to beat the New England Patriots. Dalvin Cook is projected for 100.0 rushing yards and a 52.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 38.0% of simulations where New England Patriots wins, Mac Jones averages 0.9 TD passes vs 0.52 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.49 TDs to 0.69 interceptions. Rhamondre Stevenson averages 53.0 rushing yards and 0.35 rushing TDs when New England Patriots wins and 31.0 yards and 0.12 TDs in losses. The Minnesota Vikings has a 46.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 80.0% of the time.
| New England Patriots | | Minnesota Vikings | | |
|---|
| All Games | 7-5-0 | All Games | 5-3-3 | |
| Road Games | 40-20-00 | Home Games | 3-2-2 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 2-4-0 | When Favored | 4-1-3 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 5-3-0 | Non-Division Opp | 4-2-2 | |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-3-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 3-3-2 | |
| New England Patriots | | Minnesota Vikings | | |
|---|
| All Games | 10-8-0 | All Games | 9-8-0 | |
| Road Games | 50-40-00 | Home Games | 4-4-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 3-3-0 | When Favored | 4-4-0 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 7-4-0 | Non-Division Opp | 6-5-0 | |
| Opp Under .500 | 63-51-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 84-75-0 | |
| New England Patriots | | Minnesota Vikings | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-7-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-6-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 3-3-0 | At Home | 3-3-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 10-7-1 | All Totals Last Season | 11-6-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-4-1 | At Home Last Season | 4-4-0 | |
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