May 08, 2024 6:58 AM CDT

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs 11/20/2023

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Expect a close game with the Philadelphia Eagles winning 42.0% of simulations, and the Kansas City Chiefs 58.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Philadelphia Eagles commit fewer turnovers in 88.0% of simulations and they go on to win 45.0% when they take care of the ball. The Kansas City Chiefs wins 82.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jalen Hurts is averaging 310.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (45.0% chance) then he helps his team win 46%. Patrick Mahomes is averaging 299.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (43.0% chance) then he helps his team win 60%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Philadelphia EaglesATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 7-9-2All Games 13-7-0No Edge
Road Games 40-50-10Home Games 6-4-0 No Edge
When Underdog 1-2-0When Favored 10-7-0Philadelphia Eagles
Non-Division Opp 6-5-1Non-Division Opp 9-5-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 5-3-1Opp .500+ Record 2-2-0Kansas City Chiefs

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Philadelphia EaglesATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 11-9-0All Games 8-12-0No Edge
Road Games 20-60-00Home Games 4-6-0 No Edge
When Underdog 1-1-0When Favored 7-11-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 7-6-0Non-Division Opp 7-7-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 109-50-0Opp .500+ Record 52-90-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Philadelphia EaglesO-U-P RECORDKansas City ChiefsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 9-9-0All Totals (O-U-P) 6-14-0UNDER
On Road 2-8-0At Home 1-9-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 11-9-0All Totals Last Season 9-11-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 4-4-0At Home Last Season 2-8-0UNDER

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