November 13, 2025 6:23 PM EST

Dallas Cowboys vs Las Vegas Raiders 11/17/2025

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Expect a close game with the Dallas Cowboys winning 50.0% of simulations, and the Las Vegas Raiders 50.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Dallas Cowboys commit fewer turnovers in 22.0% of simulations and they go on to win 86.0% when they take care of the ball. The Las Vegas Raiders wins 62.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Dak Prescott is averaging 347.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (31.0% chance) then he helps his team win 55%. Ashton Jeanty is averaging 124.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (44.0% chance) then he helps his team win 83%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Dallas CowboysATS RECORDLas Vegas RaidersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 3-5-0All Games 4-5-0No Edge
Road Games 20-30-00Home Games 2-2-0 No Edge
When Favored 2-4-0When Underdog 3-4-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 1-4-0Non-Division Opp 3-3-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 1-4-0Opp Under .500 1-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Dallas CowboysATS RECORDLas Vegas RaidersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 7-9-1All Games 8-9-0No Edge
Road Games 40-30-10Home Games 4-4-0 No Edge
When Favored 1-1-1When Underdog 6-8-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 4-7-0Non-Division Opp 6-5-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 47-36-14Opp Under .500 53-50-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Dallas CowboysO-U-P RECORDLas Vegas RaidersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 5-3-0All Totals (O-U-P) 3-5-1No Edge
On Road 3-2-0At Home 2-2-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 11-6-0All Totals Last Season 9-8-0OVER
On Road Last Season 5-3-0At Home Last Season 5-3-0OVER

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