The Buffalo Bills are a heavy favorite winning 87.0% of simulations over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Josh Allen is averaging 244.0 passing yards and 2.0 TDs per simulation and Devin Singletary is projected for 88.0 rushing yards and a 69.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 13.0% of simulations where Pittsburgh Steelers wins, Kenny Pickett averages 1.08 TD passes vs 1.06 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.58 TDs to 2.12 interceptions. Najee Harris averages 133.0 rushing yards and 0.71 rushing TDs when Pittsburgh Steelers wins and 83.0 yards and 0.25 TDs in losses. Buffalo Bills has a 91.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 91.0% of the time.
| Pittsburgh Steelers | | Buffalo Bills | | |
|---|
| All Games | 10-7-0 | All Games | 8-10-1 | |
| Road Games | 60-30-00 | Home Games | 4-6-1 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 8-5-0 | When Favored | 8-10-1 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 7-4-0 | Non-Division Opp | 6-5-1 | Buffalo Bills |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-5-0 | Opp Under .500 | 3-2-0 | Buffalo Bills |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | | Buffalo Bills | | |
|---|
| All Games | 8-10-0 | All Games | 9-9-1 | |
| Road Games | 40-50-00 | Home Games | 4-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 8-5-0 | When Favored | 7-7-1 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 4-8-0 | Non-Division Opp | 5-7-0 | |
| Opp .500+ Record | 105-86-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 53-66-0 | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | | Buffalo Bills | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-10-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-13-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 4-5-0 | At Home | 5-5-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 7-10-0 | All Totals Last Season | 10-9-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-5-0 | At Home Last Season | 4-6-0 | UNDER |
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