The Jacksonville Jaguars are a solid favorite with a 73.0% chance to beat the Houston Texans. Travis Etienne Jr. is projected for 72.0 rushing yards and a 64.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 27.0% of simulations where Houston Texans wins, Davis Mills averages 0.81 TD passes vs 0.69 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.55 TDs to 1.24 interceptions. Dameon Pierce averages 102.0 rushing yards and 0.8 rushing TDs when Houston Texans wins and 55.0 yards and 0.26 TDs in losses. The Jacksonville Jaguars has a 82.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 79.0% of the time.
| Houston Texans | | Jacksonville Jaguars | | |
|---|
| All Games | 7-8-1 | All Games | 11-8-0 | |
| Road Games | 50-30-10 | Home Games | 6-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 7-8-1 | When Favored | 2-3-0 | |
| Division Opp | 3-2-0 | Division Opp | 4-2-0 | Houston Texans |
| Opp Under .500 | 1-3-0 | Opp Under .500 | 1-3-0 | |
| Houston Texans | | Jacksonville Jaguars | | |
|---|
| All Games | 7-10-0 | All Games | 5-12-0 | |
| Road Games | 30-50-00 | Home Games | 3-6-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 7-9-0 | When Favored | 0-2-0 | |
| Division Opp | 4-2-0 | Division Opp | 2-4-0 | |
| Opp Under .500 | 37-68-0 | Opp Under .500 | 31-76-0 | |
| Houston Texans | | Jacksonville Jaguars | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-8-1 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 9-10-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 4-4-1 | At Home | 3-6-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 8-9-0 | All Totals Last Season | 5-12-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 2-6-0 | At Home Last Season | 2-7-0 | UNDER |
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