December 07, 2022 9:24 AM CST

Detroit Lions vs New England Patriots 10/09/2022

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Expect a close game with the Detroit Lions winning 44.0% of simulations, and the New England Patriots 56.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Detroit Lions commit fewer turnovers in 48.0% of simulations and they go on to win 70.0% when they take care of the ball. The New England Patriots wins 81.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jamaal Williams is averaging 87.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (35.0% chance) then he helps his team win 73%. Damien Harris is averaging 90.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (43.0% chance) then he helps his team win 81%.

Detroit LionsNew England Patriots
All Games 8-4-0All Games 7-5-0
Road Games 30-20-00Home Games 3-3-0 No Edge
When Underdog 6-3-0When Favored 5-1-0New England Patriots
Non-Division Opp 5-4-0Non-Division Opp 5-3-0
Opp .500+ Record 4-2-0Opp Under .500 3-1-0New England Patriots

Detroit LionsNew England Patriots
All Games 11-6-0All Games 10-8-0
Road Games 50-40-00Home Games 5-4-0 No Edge
When Underdog 11-6-0When Favored 7-5-0
Non-Division Opp 7-4-0Non-Division Opp 7-4-0
Opp .500+ Record 87-49-0Opp Under .500 63-51-0

Detroit LionsNew England Patriots
All Totals (O-U-P) 7-5-0All Totals (O-U-P) 5-7-0UNDER
On Road 2-3-0At Home 2-4-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 7-9-0All Totals Last Season 10-7-1OVER
On Road Last Season 3-5-0At Home Last Season 6-3-0OVER

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