The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are a heavy favorite winning 77.0% of simulations over the Atlanta Falcons. Tom Brady is averaging 287.0 passing yards and 1.7 TDs per simulation and Leonard Fournette is projected for 83.0 rushing yards and a 64.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 23.0% of simulations where Atlanta Falcons wins, Marcus Mariota averages 1.5 TD passes vs 0.64 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.95 TDs to 1.28 interceptions. Tyler Allgeier averages 71.0 rushing yards and 0.41 rushing TDs when Atlanta Falcons wins and 46.0 yards and 0.16 TDs in losses. Tampa Bay Buccaneers has a 54.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 90.0% of the time.
| Atlanta Falcons | | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | | |
|---|
| All Games | 9-7-1 | All Games | 4-13-1 | Atlanta Falcons |
| Road Games | 40-40-00 | Home Games | 2-7-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 7-3-1 | When Favored | 4-8-1 | Atlanta Falcons |
| Division Opp | 4-2-0 | Division Opp | 2-4-0 | Atlanta Falcons |
| Opp Under .500 | 3-3-0 | Opp Under .500 | 0-4-1 | Atlanta Falcons |
| Atlanta Falcons | | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | | |
|---|
| All Games | 7-10-0 | All Games | 10-9-0 | |
| Road Games | 60-30-00 | Home Games | 7-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 4-7-0 | When Favored | 10-9-0 | |
| Division Opp | 2-4-0 | Division Opp | 4-2-0 | |
| Opp .500+ Record | 34-81-0 | Opp Under .500 | 94-50-0 | |
| Atlanta Falcons | | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-10-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-12-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 3-5-0 | At Home | 4-6-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 7-10-0 | All Totals Last Season | 10-9-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-5-0 | At Home Last Season | 6-4-0 | OVER |
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