December 07, 2022 9:24 AM CST

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10/09/2022

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are a heavy favorite winning 77.0% of simulations over the Atlanta Falcons. Tom Brady is averaging 287.0 passing yards and 1.7 TDs per simulation and Leonard Fournette is projected for 83.0 rushing yards and a 64.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 23.0% of simulations where Atlanta Falcons wins, Marcus Mariota averages 1.5 TD passes vs 0.64 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.95 TDs to 1.28 interceptions. Tyler Allgeier averages 71.0 rushing yards and 0.41 rushing TDs when Atlanta Falcons wins and 46.0 yards and 0.16 TDs in losses. Tampa Bay Buccaneers has a 54.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 90.0% of the time.

Atlanta FalconsTampa Bay Buccaneers
All Games 7-5-1All Games 3-8-1Atlanta Falcons
Road Games 30-30-00Home Games 1-5-0 No Edge
When Underdog 6-2-1When Favored 3-7-1Atlanta Falcons
Division Opp 2-2-0Division Opp 1-3-0Atlanta Falcons
Opp .500+ Record 4-2-1Opp Under .500 0-4-1Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta FalconsTampa Bay Buccaneers
All Games 7-10-0All Games 10-9-0
Road Games 60-30-00Home Games 7-3-0 No Edge
When Underdog 4-7-0When Favored 10-9-0
Division Opp 2-4-0Division Opp 4-2-0
Opp .500+ Record 34-81-0Opp Under .500 94-50-0

Atlanta FalconsTampa Bay Buccaneers
All Totals (O-U-P) 6-7-0All Totals (O-U-P) 2-10-0UNDER
On Road 3-3-0At Home 2-5-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 7-10-0All Totals Last Season 10-9-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 4-5-0At Home Last Season 6-4-0OVER

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