October 05, 2025 5:03 AM EST

Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars 10/06/2025

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The Kansas City Chiefs are a solid favorite with a 67.0% chance to beat the Jacksonville Jaguars. Kareem Hunt is projected for 40.0 rushing yards and a 43.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 32.0% of simulations where Jacksonville Jaguars wins, Trevor Lawrence averages 1.32 TD passes vs 0.63 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.84 TDs to 1.27 interceptions. Travis Etienne Jr. averages 96.0 rushing yards and 0.55 rushing TDs when Jacksonville Jaguars wins and 61.0 yards and 0.16 TDs in losses. The Kansas City Chiefs has a 79.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 75.0% of the time.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Kansas City ChiefsATS RECORDJacksonville JaguarsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 2-2-0All Games 3-1-0No Edge
Road Games 10-10-00Home Games 2-0-0Jacksonville Jaguars
When Favored 1-1-0When Underdog 1-1-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 2-1-0Non-Division Opp 2-1-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 0-1-0Opp .500+ Record 1-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Kansas City ChiefsATS RECORDJacksonville JaguarsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 9-11-0All Games 9-6-2No Edge
Road Games 50-50-00Home Games 4-2-0 No Edge
When Favored 8-8-0When Underdog 7-5-1No Edge
Non-Division Opp 8-6-0Non-Division Opp 5-6-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 35-62-0Opp .500+ Record 63-42-18No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Kansas City ChiefsO-U-P RECORDJacksonville JaguarsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1-2-1All Totals (O-U-P) 2-2-0UNDER
On Road 0-1-1At Home 0-2-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 9-11-0All Totals Last Season 9-8-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 4-6-0At Home Last Season 4-4-0UNDER

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