Expect a close game with the Indianapolis Colts winning 41.0% of simulations, and the Denver Broncos 59.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Indianapolis Colts commit fewer turnovers in 66.0% of simulations and they go on to win 53.0% when they take care of the ball. The Denver Broncos wins 82.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Nyheim Hines is averaging 36.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (14.0% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. Melvin Gordon is averaging 59.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32.0% chance) then he helps his team win 79%.
| Indianapolis Colts | | Denver Broncos | | |
|---|
| All Games | 5-10-1 | All Games | 8-9-0 | |
| Road Games | 20-50-10 | Home Games | 4-4-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 4-5-1 | When Favored | 1-5-0 | Indianapolis Colts |
| Non-Division Opp | 4-6-1 | Non-Division Opp | 4-7-0 | Indianapolis Colts |
| Opp Under .500 | 2-4-0 | Opp Under .500 | 2-4-0 | |
| Indianapolis Colts | | Denver Broncos | | |
|---|
| All Games | 10-7-0 | All Games | 8-8-1 | |
| Road Games | 60-20-00 | Home Games | 5-4-1 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 6-3-0 | When Favored | 5-5-0 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 8-3-0 | Non-Division Opp | 6-4-1 | |
| Opp Under .500 | 64-42-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 41-91-13 | |
| Indianapolis Colts | | Denver Broncos | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-9-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-11-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 4-4-0 | At Home | 3-5-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 8-8-1 | All Totals Last Season | 5-12-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-4-0 | At Home Last Season | 3-6-0 | UNDER |
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