December 07, 2022 9:24 AM CST

Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos 10/06/2022

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Expect a close game with the Indianapolis Colts winning 41.0% of simulations, and the Denver Broncos 59.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Indianapolis Colts commit fewer turnovers in 66.0% of simulations and they go on to win 53.0% when they take care of the ball. The Denver Broncos wins 82.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Nyheim Hines is averaging 36.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (14.0% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. Melvin Gordon is averaging 59.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32.0% chance) then he helps his team win 79%.

Indianapolis ColtsDenver Broncos
All Games 5-7-0All Games 4-8-0
Road Games 20-40-00Home Games 1-4-0 No Edge
When Underdog 4-3-0When Favored 0-4-0Indianapolis Colts
Non-Division Opp 4-4-0Non-Division Opp 3-6-0Indianapolis Colts
Opp Under .500 2-4-0Opp Under .500 1-4-0

Indianapolis ColtsDenver Broncos
All Games 10-7-0All Games 8-8-1
Road Games 60-20-00Home Games 5-4-1 No Edge
When Underdog 6-3-0When Favored 5-5-0
Non-Division Opp 8-3-0Non-Division Opp 6-4-1
Opp Under .500 64-42-0Opp .500+ Record 41-91-13

Indianapolis ColtsDenver Broncos
All Totals (O-U-P) 4-8-0All Totals (O-U-P) 1-11-0UNDER
On Road 2-4-0At Home 0-5-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 8-8-1All Totals Last Season 5-12-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 4-4-0At Home Last Season 3-6-0UNDER

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