October 05, 2025 5:03 AM EST

Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers 10/05/2025

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Expect a close game with the Miami Dolphins winning 45.0% of simulations, and the Carolina Panthers 55.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Miami Dolphins commit fewer turnovers in 24.0% of simulations and they go on to win 74.0% when they take care of the ball. The Carolina Panthers wins 66.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. De'Von Achane is averaging 69.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (14.0% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. Rico Dowdle is averaging 46.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (20.0% chance) then he helps his team win 70%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Miami DolphinsATS RECORDCarolina PanthersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 2-2-0All Games 2-2-0No Edge
Road Games 10-10-00Home Games 1-0-0Carolina Panthers
When Favored 1-1-0When Underdog 2-2-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 0-1-0Non-Division Opp 1-2-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 1-1-0Opp Under .500 0-1-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Miami DolphinsATS RECORDCarolina PanthersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 7-10-0All Games 8-9-0No Edge
Road Games 40-50-00Home Games 5-4-0 No Edge
When Favored 3-5-0When Underdog 8-8-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 4-7-0Non-Division Opp 5-6-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 65-70-0Opp Under .500 50-49-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami DolphinsO-U-P RECORDCarolina PanthersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 3-1-0All Totals (O-U-P) 2-2-0OVER
On Road 1-1-0At Home 0-1-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 8-9-0All Totals Last Season 13-4-0OVER
On Road Last Season 2-7-0At Home Last Season 7-2-0No Edge

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