October 05, 2025 5:03 AM EST

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts 10/05/2025

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The Indianapolis Colts are a solid favorite with a 72.0% chance to beat the Las Vegas Raiders. Jonathan Taylor is projected for 92.0 rushing yards and a 47.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 27.0% of simulations where Las Vegas Raiders wins, Geno Smith averages 1.75 TD passes vs 0.97 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.18 TDs to 1.67 interceptions. Ashton Jeanty averages 147.0 rushing yards and 1.84 rushing TDs when Las Vegas Raiders wins and 66.0 yards and 0.68 TDs in losses. The Indianapolis Colts has a 93.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 77.0% of the time.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Las Vegas RaidersATS RECORDIndianapolis ColtsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 1-3-0All Games 3-1-0No Edge
Road Games 10-10-00Home Games 2-0-0Indianapolis Colts
When Underdog 1-2-0When Favored 2-0-0Indianapolis Colts
Non-Division Opp 1-2-0Non-Division Opp 2-1-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 0-2-0Opp Under .500 1-0-0Indianapolis Colts

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Las Vegas RaidersATS RECORDIndianapolis ColtsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-9-0All Games 8-8-1No Edge
Road Games 40-50-00Home Games 5-3-1 No Edge
When Underdog 6-8-0When Favored 3-4-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 6-5-0Non-Division Opp 4-7-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 53-50-0Opp Under .500 57-44-14No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Las Vegas RaidersO-U-P RECORDIndianapolis ColtsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 2-2-0All Totals (O-U-P) 2-2-0No Edge
On Road 1-1-0At Home 1-1-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season 9-8-0All Totals Last Season 9-8-0OVER
On Road Last Season 4-5-0At Home Last Season 5-3-0OVER

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