October 25, 2025 11:29 AM EST

Dallas Cowboys vs Denver Broncos 10/26/2025

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Expect a close game with the Dallas Cowboys winning 52.0% of simulations, and the Denver Broncos 48.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Dallas Cowboys commit fewer turnovers in 32.0% of simulations and they go on to win 72.0% when they take care of the ball. The Denver Broncos wins 59.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Dak Prescott is averaging 303.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (34.0% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. JK Dobbins is averaging 77.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30.0% chance) then he helps his team win 72%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Dallas CowboysATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 3-3-0All Games 2-5-0No Edge
Road Games 20-20-00Home Games 1-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 1-0-0When Favored 1-4-0Dallas Cowboys
Non-Division Opp 1-2-0Non-Division Opp 2-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 1-0-0Opp .500+ Record 2-2-0Dallas Cowboys

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Dallas CowboysATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 7-9-1All Games 12-6-0No Edge
Road Games 40-30-10Home Games 6-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 6-8-0When Favored 8-0-0Denver Broncos
Non-Division Opp 4-7-0Non-Division Opp 8-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 51-90-0Opp Under .500 91-17-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Dallas CowboysO-U-P RECORDDenver BroncosO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 4-2-0All Totals (O-U-P) 2-5-0UNDER
On Road 2-2-0At Home 1-2-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 11-6-0All Totals Last Season 10-7-1OVER
On Road Last Season 5-3-0At Home Last Season 4-3-1OVER

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