Expect a close game with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers winning 41.0% of simulations, and the Detroit Lions 59.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers commit fewer turnovers in 37.0% of simulations and they go on to win 67.0% when they take care of the ball. The Detroit Lions wins 75.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Baker Mayfield is averaging 310.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (40.0% chance) then he helps his team win 42%. Jared Goff is averaging 278.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38.0% chance) then he helps his team win 61%.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | ATS RECORD | Detroit Lions | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 4-2-0 | All Games | 4-2-0 | No Edge |
| Road Games | 30-00-00 | Home Games | 2-0-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 2-1-0 | When Favored | 3-0-0 | Detroit Lions |
| Non-Division Opp | 3-2-0 | Non-Division Opp | 3-1-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-1-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 2-0-0 | Detroit Lions |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | ATS RECORD | Detroit Lions | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 10-8-0 | All Games | 11-4-3 | No Edge |
| Road Games | 50-30-00 | Home Games | 4-4-1 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 4-3-0 | When Favored | 10-4-3 | No Edge |
| Non-Division Opp | 8-4-0 | Non-Division Opp | 7-3-2 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 83-67-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 86-45-31 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | O-U-P RECORD | Detroit Lions | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-2-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-3-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 1-2-0 | At Home | 1-1-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 12-6-0 | All Totals Last Season | 10-8-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 6-2-0 | At Home Last Season | 6-4-0 | OVER |
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