Expect a close game with the Houston Texans winning 45.0% of simulations, and the New England Patriots 55.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Houston Texans commit fewer turnovers in 46.0% of simulations and they go on to win 67.0% when they take care of the ball. The New England Patriots wins 76.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Woody Marks is averaging 47.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (23.0% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. TreVeyon Henderson is averaging 100.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (42.0% chance) then he helps his team win 76%.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Houston Texans | ATS RECORD | New England Patriots | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 10-9-0 | All Games | 14-6-0 | No Edge |
| Road Games | 50-50-00 | Home Games | 7-4-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 4-4-0 | When Favored | 10-4-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Division Opp | 7-6-0 | Non-Division Opp | 9-5-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 5-4-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 2-2-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Houston Texans | ATS RECORD | New England Patriots | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 9-8-2 | All Games | 7-9-1 | No Edge |
| Road Games | 50-40-10 | Home Games | 3-4-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 5-3-1 | When Favored | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Division Opp | 8-4-1 | Non-Division Opp | 4-6-1 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 53-62-14 | Opp .500+ Record | 43-54-12 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Houston Texans | O-U-P RECORD | New England Patriots | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-12-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 12-8-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 3-7-0 | At Home | 7-4-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 7-12-0 | All Totals Last Season | 11-6-0 | No Edge |
| On Road Last Season | 5-5-0 | At Home Last Season | 7-1-0 | OVER |
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