Expect a close game with the Buffalo Bills winning 41.0% of simulations, and the Denver Broncos 58.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Buffalo Bills commit fewer turnovers in 65.0% of simulations and they go on to win 54.0% when they take care of the ball. The Denver Broncos wins 83.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. James Cook is averaging 53.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28.0% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Bo Nix is averaging 265.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38.0% chance) then he helps his team win 68%.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Buffalo Bills | ATS RECORD | Denver Broncos | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 9-9-0 | All Games | 6-9-2 | No Edge |
| Road Games | 50-40-00 | Home Games | 4-4-1 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 3-0-0 | When Favored | 2-8-2 | Buffalo Bills |
| Non-Division Opp | 6-6-0 | Non-Division Opp | 5-6-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 5-3-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 5-2-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Buffalo Bills | ATS RECORD | Denver Broncos | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 12-7-1 | All Games | 12-6-0 | No Edge |
| Road Games | 50-50-00 | Home Games | 6-2-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 3-2-0 | When Favored | 8-0-0 | Denver Broncos |
| Non-Division Opp | 9-4-1 | Non-Division Opp | 8-4-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 82-49-7 | Opp .500+ Record | 77-67-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Buffalo Bills | O-U-P RECORD | Denver Broncos | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 9-8-1 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-10-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 3-5-1 | At Home | 4-5-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 13-6-1 | All Totals Last Season | 10-7-1 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 6-4-0 | At Home Last Season | 4-3-1 | OVER |
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