January 14, 2026 5:28 AM EST

Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers 01/12/2026

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Expect a close game with the Houston Texans winning 49.0% of simulations, and the Pittsburgh Steelers 51.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Houston Texans commit fewer turnovers in 41.0% of simulations and they go on to win 65.0% when they take care of the ball. The Pittsburgh Steelers wins 62.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Woody Marks is averaging 44.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (16.0% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. Jaylen Warren is averaging 52.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (8.0% chance) then he helps his team win 76%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Houston TexansATS RECORDPittsburgh SteelersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 10-8-0All Games 9-8-1No Edge
Road Games 50-40-00Home Games 6-4-1 No Edge
When Favored 6-5-0When Underdog 5-4-1No Edge
Non-Division Opp 7-5-0Non-Division Opp 5-6-1No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 5-4-0Opp .500+ Record 4-3-1No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Houston TexansATS RECORDPittsburgh SteelersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 9-8-2All Games 11-7-0No Edge
Road Games 50-40-10Home Games 6-2-0 No Edge
When Favored 4-5-1When Underdog 6-4-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 8-4-1Non-Division Opp 7-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 73-50-14Opp .500+ Record 66-61-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston TexansO-U-P RECORDPittsburgh SteelersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 6-12-0All Totals (O-U-P) 10-8-0UNDER
On Road 2-7-0At Home 5-5-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 7-12-0All Totals Last Season 8-9-1UNDER
On Road Last Season 5-5-0At Home Last Season 2-5-1UNDER

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