February 02, 2026 4:42 AM EST

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears 01/10/2026

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Expect a close game with the Green Bay Packers winning 59.0% of simulations, and the Chicago Bears 41.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Green Bay Packers commit fewer turnovers in 62.0% of simulations and they go on to win 72.0% when they take care of the ball. The Chicago Bears wins 62.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Josh Jacobs is averaging 68.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24.0% chance) then he helps his team win 76%. Dandre Swift is averaging 39.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (16.0% chance) then he helps his team win 59%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Green Bay PackersATS RECORDChicago BearsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 6-9-2All Games 12-5-2No Edge
Road Games 30-50-10Home Games 7-2-1 No Edge
When Favored 5-8-1When Underdog 7-4-1No Edge
Division Opp 3-2-2Division Opp 3-3-1No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 3-3-1Opp .500+ Record 3-0-2Chicago Bears

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Green Bay PackersATS RECORDChicago BearsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-9-1All Games 8-8-1No Edge
Road Games 30-50-10Home Games 6-2-0 No Edge
When Favored 6-5-0When Underdog 4-7-1No Edge
Division Opp 0-5-1Division Opp 3-2-1No Edge
Opp Under .500 71-26-0Opp .500+ Record 56-76-14No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Green Bay PackersO-U-P RECORDChicago BearsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 9-8-0All Totals (O-U-P) 9-10-0OVER
On Road 6-3-0At Home 3-7-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 9-9-0All Totals Last Season 7-10-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 5-4-0At Home Last Season 5-4-0OVER

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