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NBA Finals 2016: Warriors to Win in 5 or 7


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Note: AccuScore simulated every game in the NBA Finals 10,000 times based on team, matchup and player statistics to project out the 2016 NBA Finals

Twelve months after the Warriors beat the Cavaliers in the 2015 NBA Finals, LeBron James and Stephen Curry meet in the 2016 NBA Finals rematch that doesn’t feel like much of a rematch. The Cavs have Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love healthy and playing well under new coach Tyronn Lou. Even with the improvements, however, AccuScore’s computer gives the Warriors a 69.6% chance of winning the title.

2016 NBA Finals Picks

Why is the computer not believing the hype surrounding the Cavs’ playoff run? Well, first of all, the Warriors have the home court advantage, and the Game 6 win in Oklahoma City further pointed to the Warriors’ ability to win on the road too. Also, the Cavs were handily beaten by the Warriors in Cleveland during the regular season.

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Of course, AccuScore picked both the Warriors and the Cavs to advance out of the Conference Finals. In fact, the computer picked the Warriors to win in 7 games, exactly. The computer had the Cavs winning in 5 games, which isn’t exactly a far cry from the 6 games Cleveland required to put down the Raptors.

That extra loss to the Raptors further illustrated that the Cavs may not be as great as they appeared storming through the Eastern Conference. If the Warriors don’t win in five games, which is the most likely outcome at 22.8%, the next most likely outcome is a Warriors victory in Game 7, which is 22.0% likely. The next third most likely outcome is the Warriors winning in Cleveland in six games for the second year in a row. The Cavs’ best hope is to win in six games because winning the series in Oakland doesn’t seem like a likely outcome for Cleveland.

Aggressive as it sounds, the AccuScore computer says ‘Warriors in 5’.

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Golden State Warriors, Cleveland Cavaliers, NBA Finals 2016, LeBron James, Stephen Curry

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NBA

NBA

NBA - Top Free Betting Trends
TREND RECORD UNITS
INTER-CONF GAME SV (Season) 186-269, 40.9% 2366
NBA: 2 STAR SV Past 7 Days 1-0, 100% 245

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File Name Sile Size Creation Date
NBA_ARCHIV
E.xls		 5.95 MB 08.16.22

NBA2 Season Futures

Eastern SEASON-TO-DATE FORECAST POSTSEASON
WIN LOSS WIN LOSS WIN DIV PLAYOFF
ATL
Boston Celtics 0 0 45.9 34.1 34.9% 89.5%
New York Knicks 0 0 45.1 34.9 30.7% 88.2%
Brooklyn Nets 0 0 42.0 38.0 17.9% 78.3%
Philadelphia 76ers 0 0 40.4 39.6 13.5% 72.4%
Toronto Raptors 0 0 33.6 46.4 2.9% 45.6%
CEN
Chicago Bulls 0 0 45.2 34.8 38.9% 88.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers 0 0 43.1 36.9 28.6% 82.7%
Milwaukee Bucks 0 0 42.3 37.7 24.9% 79.5%
Detroit Pistons 0 0 33.2 46.8 4.6% 44.2%
Indiana Pacers 0 0 32.2 47.8 3% 39.5%
SE
Charlotte Hornets 0 0 41.9 38.1 39% 78.4%
Miami Heat 0 0 37.5 42.5 19.9% 61.9%
Atlanta Hawks 0 0 36.8 43.2 18.4% 58.8%
Orlando Magic 0 0 36.7 43.3 16.6% 57.7%
Washington Wizards 0 0 31.8 48.2 6.1% 37.3%

Western SEASON-TO-DATE FORECAST POSTSEASON
WIN LOSS WIN LOSS WIN DIV PLAYOFF
NW
Denver Nuggets 0 0 47.9 32.1 49.8% 90.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves 0 0 44.6 35.4 32.6% 82.3%
Portland Trail Blazers 0 0 37.5 42.5 9.5% 53.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder 0 0 33.9 46.1 4.2% 39.5%
Utah Jazz 0 0 33.2 46.8 3.8% 36.7%
PAC
Los Angeles Clippers 0 0 47.8 32.2 37.4% 90.7%
Los Angeles Lakers 0 0 45.9 34.1 26.7% 85.9%
Phoenix Suns 0 0 44.9 35.1 23.1% 83.5%
Golden State Warriors 0 0 38.8 41.2 7.3% 59.7%
Sacramento Kings 0 0 38.0 42.0 5.5% 55.7%
SW
Dallas Mavericks 0 0 43.8 36.2 33.6% 79.7%
Houston Rockets 0 0 42.8 37.2 29.3% 76%
San Antonio Spurs 0 0 39.9 40.1 17.9% 65.4%
Memphis Grizzlies 0 0 37.7 42.3 11.4% 55.8%
New Orleans Pelicans 0 0 35.6 44.4 7.7% 47.1%

Eastern, ATL

SEASON-TO-DATE  ■  WIN   ■  LOSS   |   FORECAST  ■  WIN   ■  LOSS   

Eastern, ATL

POSTSEASON  ■  WIN DIV   ■  PLAYOFF

Eastern, CEN

SEASON-TO-DATE  ■  WIN   ■  LOSS   |   FORECAST  ■  WIN   ■  LOSS   

Eastern, CEN

POSTSEASON  ■  WIN DIV   ■  PLAYOFF

Eastern, SE

SEASON-TO-DATE  ■  WIN   ■  LOSS   |   FORECAST  ■  WIN   ■  LOSS   

Eastern, SE

POSTSEASON  ■  WIN DIV   ■  PLAYOFF

Western, NW

SEASON-TO-DATE  ■  WIN   ■  LOSS   |   FORECAST  ■  WIN   ■  LOSS   

Western, NW

POSTSEASON  ■  WIN DIV   ■  PLAYOFF

Western, PAC

SEASON-TO-DATE  ■  WIN   ■  LOSS   |   FORECAST  ■  WIN   ■  LOSS   

Western, PAC

POSTSEASON  ■  WIN DIV   ■  PLAYOFF

Western, SW

SEASON-TO-DATE  ■  WIN   ■  LOSS   |   FORECAST  ■  WIN   ■  LOSS   

Western, SW

POSTSEASON  ■  WIN DIV   ■  PLAYOFF