EPL
Totals

Over/Under

3.25

Accuscore Probability

 
 
under
over
Money Line
MANC  57.3%
Side Value
MANC  9.1%
57.3%
17.8%
24.9%
Game Projection
  • Manchester City
    1.84
  • Everton
    0.95
Big Win
  • Manchester City
    N/A
  • Everton
    N/A
Close Win
  • Manchester City
    N/A
  • Everton
    N/A

Game Prediction

EPL: Manchester City @ Everton 04/19/2025
There is a 24.9% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw Manchester City, at 57.3%, are heavy favorites to beat Everton who have just a 17.8% chance to win at home. Overall, the average simulation score is Manchester City 1.8 to Everton 0.9. In simulation wins, Everton upsets Manchester City by averaging 6.7 shots and 3.6 shots on goal. They average 2.1 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.5 in simulation losses. The leading goal scorer for Manchester City is Omar Khaled Mohamed Marmoush with a 44% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Manchester City has a 76% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Everton is Norberto Bercique Gomes Betuncal with a 23% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Everton has a 36% chance to win.

Manchester City

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Omar Khaled Mohamed Marmoush 2.09 1.32 0.57 44.06%
Philip Foden 1.66 0.92 0.41 33.84%
Kevin De Bruyne 1.57 0.69 0.18 16.66%
Joško Gvardiol 1.02 0.53 0.18 16.3%
Ilkay Gündogan 0.95 0.5 0.16 14.52%
Mateo Kovacic 0.73 0.28 0.14 12.96%
Rest of Team 1.58 0.72 0.72 --
Team Total 9.6 4.96 1.84 --

PLAYERS

Everton

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Norberto Bercique Gomes Betuncal 1.3 0.68 0.26 23.42%
Jake O'Brien 0.61 0.31 0.19 17.44%
Abdoulaye Doucouré 0.72 0.4 0.15 14.1%
Iliman Ndiaye 0.8 0.33 0.12 11.3%
Jack Harrison 0.62 0.27 0.08 7.78%
Idrissa Gana Gueye 0.67 0.18 0.05 5.42%
Rest of Team 0.88 0.26 0.26 --
Team Total 5.6 2.44 0.95 --

PLAYERS

Trends

  • Manchester City
  • Everton
  • Manchester City
  • Everton
Manchester City Trends Everton Trends
All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 15-9-7 All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 7-10-14
Road Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 6-6-4 Home Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 4-4-8
vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More 4 of 31 games 12.9% Win by 2 or More 1 of 31 games 3.2%
Lose by 2 or More 4 of 31 games 12.9% Lose by 2 or More 4 of 31 games 12.9%
When Favored W-L-D: 15-6-7 When Favored W-L-D: 3-2-3
Road Favorite W-L-D: 6-4-4 Home Favorite W-L-D: 3-1-3
All Games Last Season W-L-D: 28-3-7 All Games Last Season W-L-D: 13-16-9
Road Last Season W-L-D: 14-3-2 Home Last Season W-L-D: 8-7-4
vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More (LS) 21 of 38 games 55.3% Win by 2 or More (LS) 7 of 38 games 18.4%
Lose by 2 or More (LS) 0 of 38 games 0.0% Lose by 2 or More (LS) 9 of 38 games 23.7%
Over-Under O-U: 25-15 Over-Under O-U: 21-18
Road Over-Under O-U: 12-6 Home Over-Under O-U: 12-10
Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 31 games 0.0% Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 31 games 0.0%
Total: 3 or More Goals 20 of 31 games 64.5% Total: 3 or More Goals 12 of 31 games 38.7%
Total: 2 or Less Goals 11 of 31 games 35.5% Total: 2 or Less Goals 19 of 31 games 61.3%
Total (LS): 3 or More Goals 0 of 38 games 0.0% Total (LS): 3 or More Goals 0 of 38 games 0.0%