EPL: Manchester City @ Everton 04/19/2025
There is a 24.9% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw Manchester City, at 57.3%, are heavy favorites to beat Everton who have just a 17.8% chance to win at home. Overall, the average simulation score is Manchester City 1.8 to Everton 0.9. In simulation wins, Everton upsets Manchester City by averaging 6.7 shots and 3.6 shots on goal. They average 2.1 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.5 in simulation losses. The leading goal scorer for Manchester City is Omar Khaled Mohamed Marmoush with a 44% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Manchester City has a 76% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Everton is Norberto Bercique Gomes Betuncal with a 23% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Everton has a 36% chance to win.