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Game Details

EPL
Totals

Over/Under

3.25

Accuscore Probability

 
 
under
over
Money Line
NEWC  49.7%
Side Value
CRYS  4.4%
26.4%
49.7%
23.9%
Game Projection
  • Crystal Palace
    1.4
  • Newcastle United
    1.99
Big Win
  • Crystal Palace
    N/A
  • Newcastle United
    N/A
Close Win
  • Crystal Palace
    N/A
  • Newcastle United
    N/A

Game Prediction

EPL: Crystal Palace @ Newcastle United 04/16/2025
There is a 23.9% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw Newcastle United, at 49.7%, are heavy favorites to beat Crystal Palace who have a 26.4% chance. In simulation wins, Crystal Palace upsets Newcastle United by averaging 8.8 shots and 4.9 shots on goal. They average 2.5 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.8 in simulation losses. Overall, the average simulation score is Newcastle United 2.0 to Crystal Palace 1.4. The leading goal scorer for Crystal Palace is Jean-Philippe Mateta with a 36% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Crystal Palace has a 43% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Newcastle United is Alexander Isak with a 59% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Newcastle United has a 64% chance to win.

Crystal Palace

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Jean-Philippe Mateta 1.37 0.84 0.45 36.36%
Ismaila Sarr 1.21 0.73 0.25 21.92%
Eberechi Eze 1.81 0.86 0.23 20.36%
Maxence Lacroix 0.38 0.26 0.14 13.14%
Daniel Munoz 0.79 0.38 0.1 9.68%
Marc Guehi 0.26 0.16 0.08 7.92%
Rest of Team 1.88 0.56 0.56 --
Team Total 7.69 3.79 1.4 --

PLAYERS

Newcastle United

PLAYERS SHOTS SG GOALS G%
Alexander Isak 2.31 1.52 0.89 58.7%
Harvey Lewis Barnes 1.25 0.61 0.26 22.18%
Jacob Murphy 1.1 0.51 0.22 19.8%
Joelinton Cassio Apolinário de Lira 1.27 0.55 0.17 15.64%
Bruno Guimarães 0.93 0.36 0.16 14.5%
Fabian Lukas Schär 0.73 0.28 0.11 10.12%
Rest of Team 1.21 0.61 0.61 --
Team Total 8.8 4.45 1.99 --

PLAYERS

Trends

  • Crystal Palace
  • Newcastle United
  • Crystal Palace
  • Newcastle United
Crystal Palace Trends Newcastle United Trends
All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 11-9-10 All Games (Win-Loss-Draw) W-L-D: 16-9-5
Road Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 6-3-5 Home Games (W-L-D) W-L-D: 8-4-2
vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP (W-L-D) W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More 5 of 30 games 16.7% Win by 2 or More 5 of 30 games 16.7%
Lose by 2 or More 3 of 30 games 10.0% Lose by 2 or More 6 of 30 games 20.0%
When Underdog W-L-D: 4-5-8 When Underdog W-L-D: 2-3-2
Road Underdog W-L-D: 3-2-4 Home Underdog W-L-D: 0-0-2
All Games Last Season W-L-D: 13-15-10 All Games Last Season W-L-D: 18-14-6
Road Last Season W-L-D: 5-8-6 Home Last Season W-L-D: 12-3-4
vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0 vs OPP Last Season W-L-D: 0-0-0
Win by 2 or More (LS) 8 of 38 games 21.1% Win by 2 or More (LS) 12 of 38 games 31.6%
Lose by 2 or More (LS) 8 of 38 games 21.1% Lose by 2 or More (LS) 8 of 38 games 21.1%
Over-Under O-U: 22-17 Over-Under O-U: 22-15
Road Over-Under O-U: 12-8 Home Over-Under O-U: 11-8
Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 30 games 0.0% Over-Under vs Opp 0 of 30 games 0.0%
Total: 3 or More Goals 13 of 30 games 43.3% Total: 3 or More Goals 19 of 30 games 63.3%
Total: 2 or Less Goals 17 of 30 games 56.7% Total: 2 or Less Goals 11 of 30 games 36.7%
Total (LS): 3 or More Goals 0 of 38 games 0.0% Total (LS): 3 or More Goals 0 of 38 games 0.0%