May 18, 2026 3:58 AM EST

NHL: Montreal Canadiens vs. Buffalo Sabres 5/18/2026

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The Buffalo Sabres are slight 54.4 percent favorites over the Montreal Canadiens. The Sabres are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +5 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 29 shots on goal vs 24 shots for the Canadiens. The Canadiens goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89.7% compared to the Sabres goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.5%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Jakub Dobes 26, UkkoPekka Luukkonen 21 SHOTS: Cole Caufield 3.7, Tage Thompson 4 GOALS: Cole Caufield 0.58, Tage Thompson 0.6 PTS: Nick Suzuki has a 51% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Tage Thompson has a 57% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Montreal Canadiens

Montreal CanadiensRECORDBuffalo SabresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road29-19, 60% 1319Record at Home28-19, 60% 456Montreal Canadiens
VS Buffalo Sabres5-5, 50% -36VS Montreal Canadiens5-5, 50% 27Buffalo Sabres
vs Team .500 or Better31-28, 53% 482vs Team .500 or Better31-26, 54% 503Buffalo Sabres
Record As Road Underdog24-16, 60% 1242Record As Home Favorite20-15, 57% -108Montreal Canadiens
After 1 or More Days Off46-33, 58% -3253After 1 or More Days Off48-33, 59% -4003Montreal Canadiens

PAST 30 DAYS

Montreal CanadiensRECORDBuffalo SabresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-2, 71% 434Record at Home2-4, 33% -254Montreal Canadiens
VS Buffalo Sabres3-3, 50% -18VS Montreal Canadiens3-3, 50% 40Buffalo Sabres
vs Team .500 or Better3-3, 50% -18vs Team Under .5004-2, 67% 141Buffalo Sabres
Record As Road Underdog5-2, 71% 434Record As Home Favorite2-4, 33% -254Montreal Canadiens
After 1 or More Days Off7-6, 54% +64After 1 or More Days Off7-5, 58% -659Montreal Canadiens

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Montreal CanadiensRECORDBuffalo SabresRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD31-17, 65% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME26-21, 55% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-3, 57% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-19, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-12, 57% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home51-29, 64% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road44-34, 56% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 23-25, 48% -343 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 27-20, 57% +732 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 3-4, 43% -48 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 3-3, 50% -18

MONEY LINE - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 25-23, 52% -290 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 28-18, 61% 392 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 2-5, 29% -366 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 2-4, 33% -254

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 26-22, 54% + 166 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 28-19, 60% + 648 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 5-2, 71% + 255 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 4-2, 67% + 164

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