May 14, 2026 10:28 AM EST

NHL: Montreal Canadiens vs. Buffalo Sabres 5/14/2026

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The Buffalo Sabres are solid 55.2 percent favorites over the Montreal Canadiens. The Sabres are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +5 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 29 shots on goal vs 24 shots for the Canadiens. The Canadiens goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89.4% compared to the Sabres goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.4%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Jakub Dobes 26, UkkoPekka Luukkonen 21 SHOTS: Cole Caufield 3.6, Tage Thompson 4 GOALS: Cole Caufield 0.6, Tage Thompson 0.58 PTS: Nick Suzuki has a 53% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Tage Thompson has a 58% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Montreal Canadiens

Montreal CanadiensRECORDBuffalo SabresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road28-19, 60% 1218Record at Home28-18, 61% 556Montreal Canadiens
VS Buffalo Sabres4-3, 57% 63VS Montreal Canadiens3-4, 43% -134Montreal Canadiens
vs Team .500 or Better28-26, 52% 337vs Team .500 or Better27-25, 52% 167Montreal Canadiens
Record As Road Underdog23-16, 59% 1141Record As Home Favorite20-14, 59% -8Montreal Canadiens
After 1 or More Days Off45-31, 59% -3154After 1 or More Days Off46-32, 59% -4164Montreal Canadiens

PAST 30 DAYS

Montreal CanadiensRECORDBuffalo SabresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-3, 57% 233Record at Home2-4, 33% -254Montreal Canadiens
VS Buffalo Sabres2-1, 67% 81VS Montreal Canadiens1-2, 33% -121Montreal Canadiens
vs Team .500 or Better2-1, 67% 81vs Team .500 or Better1-2, 33% -121Montreal Canadiens
Record As Road Underdog4-3, 57% 233Record As Home Favorite2-3, 40% -154Montreal Canadiens
After 1 or More Days Off6-5, 55% +63After 1 or More Days Off5-5, 50% -920Montreal Canadiens

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Montreal CanadiensRECORDBuffalo SabresRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD30-17, 64% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME25-20, 56% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-3, 57% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-2, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-19, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-12, 57% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home49-28, 64% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road42-33, 56% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 23-24, 49% -243 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 27-19, 59% +832 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 4-3, 57% +139 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 4-2, 67% +151

MONEY LINE - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 25-22, 53% -190 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 28-17, 62% 492 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 3-4, 43% -179 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 3-3, 50% -85

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 25-22, 53% + 75 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 27-19, 59% + 557 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 64 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 4-2, 67% + 164

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